Season to date, every snap, FBS games included. Success rate is the share of plays that stay on schedule. Explosive plays are runs of 15 or more and completions of 20 or more. Yards per dropback charges the sacks. Points added is CFBD's expected points. Last season's FCS medians: success .412 and .427 allowed, explosive 7.8 percent, 6.30 yards a dropback and 6.49 allowed.

2:00, ESPN+, Hillsboro Stadium, and the first meeting between the two programs. Portland State is 1-4 off a bye, Chris Fisk's first win came at Weber State two weeks ago, and the Vikings have started three quarterbacks in five games; their own preview says "it's anyone's guess who will be the starter come Saturday." Utah Tech is 0-6 and has lost nine straight, back to the last three games of 2025, and Deacon Hill left the Southern Utah game in the second quarter with a thumb; the Trailblazers finished with 572 yards anyway.

Portland State's defense gives up 9.24 yards a dropback, the worst in the league by a yard. Utah Tech produces an explosive play on 6.2 percent of its snaps, the fewest in the league. The Trailblazers' turnover margin is minus-nine, also the worst. Their defense allows success on .525 of snaps, the worst in the league. It wrecks a play in the backfield — a sack, a run for a loss, an interception, or a fumble it falls on — on 6.1 percent of snaps, the fewest in the league. Delon Thompson ran for 213 yards at Weber State the last time the Vikings played, and the Portland State offense otherwise stays on schedule on .378 of its snaps, thirteenth.

Kalshi has the Vikings by 8.6 and we have 7.2, so the computers lean Utah Tech by a point and a half. It is Utah Tech's first trip to Oregon as a Division I program and Portland State's first home game in four weeks.

4:00, ESPN+, Homecoming in Pocatello. Idaho State has won three straight in the series, and Cal Poly has not won in Pocatello since 2007. The Bengals lost to Northern Arizona for the third year in a row on Saturday, 38-31, and Cody Hawkins took it: "I probably honestly tried to run it too much early, and I know that sounds crazy looking at it, but they're just so dang big up front that you're trying to play balanced football when you knew you'd be able to throw it on 'em."

Idaho State's passing game makes 7.82 yards a dropback, second in the league, and Jordan Cooke threw for 385 against Northern Arizona. Its pass rush gets to the quarterback on 7.4 percent of dropbacks, the best rate in the league. Cal Poly gives up a sack on 6.3 percent of its dropbacks, second-worst. Anthony Grigsby Jr. said after the Weber State loss, "I held onto that ball too long. I needed to get it out quicker." The Mustangs' defense holds runs to 4.83 a carry, third in the league. Idaho State runs on 42.7 percent of its snaps, twelfth. Mikey D'Amato, Cal Poly's leading tackler, was in a boot on the sideline Saturday and is expected to miss a few weeks. Opponents have scored on 22 of 23 trips into the Cal Poly red zone.

Idaho State allows 5.15 yards a dropback on the season and allowed 9.39 to Northern Arizona on Saturday. Kalshi has the Bengals by 14.2 and we have 15.9. Five of the Mustangs' six games have been decided by eight points or fewer, and I'm taking the points.

5:00, ESPN+ and SWX, Homecoming in Cheney. Eastern Washington has won sixteen straight in the series by its own count, and Northern Colorado's notes count fifteen meetings and no wins. "The record, 1-5, that's a record, not a culture or belief system," receivers coach Casey Brink said this week.

Eastern Washington's defense allows 6.87 a carry, the worst in the league. Its offense gives up a sack on 7.8 percent of dropbacks, also the worst. Nate Bell threw for 413 yards and ran for 107 at UC Davis anyway, to a receiving corps that has had a man leave hurt in every game this season; Rylin Lang is the only Eagle receiver to play all six. The Eagles have scored on 22 of 24 trips to the red zone. Northern Colorado's passing game makes 5.92 yards a dropback, eleventh, and the Bears have not lost a fumble in six games. Their defense allows success on .268 of passing downs, the snaps where everyone knows a throw is coming, second in the league. The Eagles have seven interceptions, and they picked Northern Colorado five times in last year's 27-7. "I did not think we were just mentally prepared for that moment," Ed Lamb said Monday of the Montana game. Brayten Silbor is listed first on this week's two-deep, and Kenny Lueth, back from a September injury, ran for both Northern Colorado touchdowns in the second half in Missoula.

Kalshi has the Eagles by 6.0 and we have 6.1.

3:00, Scripps and ESPN+. Kalshi has Montana by 5.8, we have 3.9, and the computers lean Lumberjacks by about two points. I think the computers are overrating Northern Arizona's turnover luck, sixteen takeaways in six games and the most in FCS; the rest of the case is in the week's scouting report.