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# Week 5: Northern Colorado
- URL: https://www.bobbyball406.com/week-5-scouting-report-bearcountry/
- Published: 2026-09-30T12:00:00.000Z
- Updated: 2026-09-30T19:07:21.000Z
- Description: The hashtag lands in Missoula. We're playing for keeps.
- Author: Schuyler Watt
- Tags: Scouting Report, Griz Football, Big Sky

Bobby BallWeek 5 scouting reportWa-Griz

# #Bear*Country*

The hashtag lands in Missoula. We're playing for keeps.

The last three meetings**99-0**35-0, 40-0 and 24-0\. The Bears last scored on Montana on Nov. 11, 2017

Their Homecoming crowd last Saturday**5,287**At halftime the scoreboard asked “Will You Marry Me.” Hall said yes

Third-and-short runs they allowed**10 of 11**Opponents ran on third-and-4 or less eleven times and moved the chains ten

Northern Colorado's football account signs its posts #BearCountry. On Saturday at 2 o'clock the hashtag lands in Missoula for a faceoff, winner gets the pink slips... for the hashtag. Montana leads the series 17-2 and has never lost to them at home. The last three meetings went 35-0, 40-0 and 24-0\. The Bears haven't scored a point against the Griz in almost nine years, which in the Park Service literature is filed under overpredation.

For the Griz to win

**Their run:** it belongs to the quarterback, so fit him first. With the sacks pulled out the Bears run for 5.46 a carry after 3.99 last year, and #12 Kenny Lueth is the hardest of them to bring down, 3.48 yards after contact. Behind the sticks they run, 38 times on 100 passing downs, and 13 moved the chains. Keep the lanes and tackle the quarterback on second-and-long.

**Their pass:** rally to the short stuff, and don't look over the top. Of 179 throws, 133 were short, 35 were deep, and four of the deep ones went down the middle all season.

**Our run:** first down, then third-and-short, then first down again. Our first-down run is a 52-percent play at 7.2 a carry, and they have let opponents convert 10 of 11 third-and-short runs.

**Our pass:** throw at #8, throw at the safeties, throw over the middle, leave #30 alone. Lamb likes man coverage and his secondary was "cobbled together" last week. #8 KJ Smedley has allowed a 120.1 rating on 15 targets.

**The kicking game:** protect the kicks, because their coach lives for this. Jo Silver is 4 of 7, and 3 of 4 since Sept. 12\. Their coach spent seven seasons as BYU's special-teams coordinator, and his one win in this building, with Southern Utah in 2012, came on two blocked field goals and a fake punt.

[Subscribe free](#/portal/signup)

01

## Mascot Tale of the Tape

Northern Colorado has had five since 1923\. A toddler on a toy bear. A live bear, retired because ["the bear's behavior proved to be unpredictable and potentially dangerous,"](https://libguides.unco.edu/c.php?g=141125&p=923886&ref=bobbyball406.com) which sounds exactly like what you would think a live bear in a football stadium would be like. Then Mr. Bear. Bentley Bear. And since 2003, Klawz, ["a super-hero with a muscle suit."](https://www.unco.edu/news/articles/im-a-bear-maddie-cabot-dana-hoffman/?ref=bobbyball406.com) Here’s the fight:

Round one. I read Klawz’s (actual) [job posting](https://uncbears.com/documents/download/2019/4/29/Klawz%5FJob%5FDescription.pdf?ref=bobbyball406.com), and it says the position "may not exceed 20 hours per week." He’s already been on the clock since the plane left Greeley, so by kickoff this is hour nineteen. Monte comes in on the motorcycle. Klawz is feeling like the posted compensation—work study or minimum wage—is not cutting it.

Round two. The posting asks for a fan between 5-6 and 5-11 who can "withstand reasonable heat and cold." Nobody wrote a clause for withstanding Kid Rock chants from 27,000 homecomers with wind in their eyes. The ice-cold wind. Straight from the parking lot. Alumni powered. This was not in the description.

Round three. The [Park Service](https://www.nps.gov/articles/000/american-black-bear.htm?ref=bobbyball406.com) keeps a list of what black bears fall prey to, including: "mountain lions (checks out), wolves (checks out), coyotes (seriously, a coyote?), bobcats (are you kidding me?), grizzly bears (there we go).” Nobody at Northern Colorado will say what kind of bear Klawz is, and after round three nobody will get the chance. Klawz was thinking he only had to make it 57 more minutes in the work-study-job-from-hell when he’s suddenly engulfed in flying paws, struck down by the coyote pelt wielding north endzonite. Seriously, a coyote black bears? I am embarrassed on your behalf.

02

## The computers have us by three touchdowns

Our line comes from the Bobby Blend, a combination of the well-known computer ratings and our own proprietary power ranking. It is either the sober one or needs recalibrating; the testing continues.

Every computer has us by two to four touchdowns

Montana's predicted margin · read Monday and Tuesday, Sept. 28 and 29

A computerThe state's one bookOur line's 95% interval

Massey+24.5The Bobby Blend+22.8Sports Bet Montana−21.5, total 55.5Sagarin+20.55Our line, in testing95% interval, Bears by 1.1 to Montana by 32+15.5National booksnot postedevenMontana by 7by 14by 21by 28by 35Montana ▶ 

The state's one book sits in the middle of them, and our line in testing is the low number. Ratings from [Massey](https://masseyratings.com/cf/fcs/ratings?ref=bobbyball406.com) and [Sagarin](http://sagarin.com/sports/cfsend.htm?ref=bobbyball406.com).

03

## Bobby Alert, Homecoming edition

The siren stays off. Nobody on the Northern Colorado roster or staff answers to Bobby, Bob or Robert, and the closest thing on campus is a building, the Bob Heiny Academic Success Center, named for a math professor. Per the bylaws a building rates below a coach and above a player, because I said so.

When Robert John Kennedy was throwing passes in Greeley, the athletic director was Bob Oliver and the faculty athletics rep was Bob Heiny, the man on the building, who according to [his own school](https://uncbears.com/news/2016/7/29/general-faculty-athletic-representative-dr-robert-heiny-passes-away-at-74?ref=bobbyball406.com) "witnessed some of the greatest moments in the department's history, more than likely while wearing his infamous khaki shorts." Two Bobs had our Bobby on the books for four years and let him leave.

Level zero on the sideline, building level one.

04

## Four of the five factors are maroon, but the big-play row is a tie

Bill Connelly tracks how often the team that wins each of his five factors wins the game. Success rate is just how often an offense stays on schedule, half the yards on first down, 70 percent on second, all of them on third or fourth. Explosive rate is runs of 15 or more and completions of 20 or more, over every snap. Finishing drives is points per trip inside the opponent's 40\. Field position is where drives start. Turnovers get full credit for interceptions and half for fumbles, because who falls on a loose ball is close to random.

Montana takes four of the five factors

Connelly's five factors · Montana five games, the Bears four D-I games

MontanaNorthern Colorado2025 FCS median

EXPLOSIVENESS 86%\= pushExplosive rate, offense8.0%8.0%2025 median 7.8%Explosive rate allowed5.7%8.3%2025 median 8.3%EFFICIENCY 83%✔ MontanaSuccess rate, offense48.1%41.6%2025 median 41.2%Success rate allowed41.7%44.2%2025 median 42.7%FINISHING DRIVES 75%✔ MontanaPoints per trip inside the 405.344.13TURNOVERS 73%✔ MontanaTurnover margin, actual+4+3Turnover margin, expected+2.0+3.5FIELD POSITION 72%✔ MontanaAverage drive startown 32.8own 29.0 

Four checks for us and a push. The Bears don't win a factor outright.

05

## The Name Scout

#39 Owen Wind, a freshman safety and a 2 p.m. kickoff, so for once the wind is on their side of the field and not in my eyes. #99 Levi Little, defensive tackle, aptly named at 295 pounds. #55 Brooks Maile, which is what Keali’i calls a text from our wide receiver #3\. #93 and #57 Houston Boyce, who’s having a bit of an identity crisis, listed at tight end and left tackle, under two different numbers. #89 Spensor Sharp. #45 Hudson Voggesser is their best linebacker, and I wish Riley Corcoran and the fellas good luck pronouncing that one all afternoon. KJ Smedley sounds like a butler and covers like one, serving all afternoon. #49 Maddox Broughton, long snapper. A second Brooks, #68, last name Hamlett. Preston Hadley's title on the [staff page](https://uncbears.com/sports/football/coaches?ref=bobbyball406.com) is "Defensive Coordinator | Nickles," and the depth chart has a position called NICKLE, so it is not a typo. It is installed.

06

## Treasure State Census

Zero. Not one Montanan. Sixty are from Colorado, and eight are hometown boys from Aurora. The nearest thing to a Montanan is #28 Cody Lease, a former Griz track team sprinter, who never donned any pads as far as I can tell. Why were you holding out on us Cody?

When the Griz are on defense

07

## They huddle, they run the quarterback, and they kick in the red zone

Kenny Lueth started the first four games at quarterback, was hobbled after South Dakota, and did not appear against Utah Tech. #18 Brayten Silbor started, went 15 of 27 for 140 with 42 on the ground, and won, and Lamb said ["they both will continue to be viewed by our team as starters."](https://uncbears.com/news/2026/9/25/football-bears-host-utah-tech-in-homecoming-night-game?ref=bobbyball406.com) The depth chart printed Tuesday has Silbor on top. The week before said Lueth. Take that for what you will.

They come out of the locker room running

Runs as a share of snaps · 2026 the four D-I games, 2025 the regular season

20262025

0%20%40%60%47.4%19458.1%62Q148.1%20649.4%81Q251.1%17859.6%57Q345.7%21043.2%74Q4snaps under each bar 

They throw late because they are usually behind late.

On passing downs they have run 38 times out of 100 and 13 moved the chains, and they stay on schedule on 34.9 percent of passing downs, the 85th percentile of FCS, which sounds like a strength until you notice how often they need it. They get behind the sticks, run the quarterback and get out. Then they get to the 20 and den up.

The no-huddle tag shows up on only 7.8 percent of their snaps, fifth-lowest of 128 FCS offenses; Montana's is 82.3\. They are the last team in the conference that could be accused of tempo. Late last year the Bears were under center on a sizable 0.6 percent of snaps, and this year they’ve shifted old-school, under center on 27 percent.

Where they are on the field tells you what they'll do, a lot of long-play-clock run-heavy possessions that end in field goals. That's the tendency sheet: a 2-3 team that plays like it is protecting a lead it doesn't have.

Inside the 20 they run, and it stops working

Northern Colorado's offense, four D-I games · snaps in brackets

RanStayed on schedule2025 FCS median

BY FIELD ZONEOpen field, 41+ out (189)ran 48.7%on schedule 45.0%Fringe, 21 to 40 (52)ran 51.9%on schedule 34.6%Red zone, 11 to 20 (17)ran 70.6%on schedule 17.6%Goal to go (15)ran 73.3%on schedule 46.7%BY SCOREWithin one score (186)ran 51.6%Trailing by 9 or more (59)ran 42.4%Leading by 9 or more (29)ran 72.4%0%20%40%60%80% 

Seven runs in ten inside the 20, three successes in seventeen snaps. Up more than a score, they run nearly three times in four.

08

## Their run game belongs to the quarterback, and the Mustardettes have to fit him

Last year the Bears ran for 3.99 a carry with the sacks pulled out, second-worst in the Big Sky; this year it is 5.46\. The quarterback is why: Kenny Lueth is on schedule on 61.1 percent of his runs.

With the backups' snaps cut out, Colonel Mustard's group has allowed success on 41.7 percent of plays, better than the FCS median, and a big play on 5.7 percent of snaps. Better than the box scores said, and the box scores were fine.

Montana's defense has looked good outside garbage time

Success rate allowed by game · published against the backups' snaps cut · snaps in brackets

Starters onlyPublished2025 FCS median

2025 FCS median, 42.7%Southern Utah46.3% (82), no cutDrake35.3% (85)32.7% (55)Utah Tech47.1% (68)39.3% (56)Oregon State50.7% (67), no cutUC Davis40.8% (71), provisional cut35.2% (54)Season43.7% (373)41.7% (314)30%35%40%45%50%55%◀ better 

Take the backups off the field and the season line drops two points, to the better side of the median.

Tyler King is the best pass rusher on either sideline by PFF's grade, 83.7, with 17 pressures. The interior gets home on about 6 percent of its rushes. The rush's job Saturday is lanes, because the man they have to fit is the quarterback. Lueth's share of the offense jumps 23.5 points on third down, the 92nd percentile among last year's lead quarterbacks, and Silbor kept it five times for 42 in his start. The play that beats you is second-and-8 turning into a keeper for six, and the one after that is the third-and-2 they convert. On second-and-8 or longer the Mustardettes have allowed 3.4 a carry and 18.2 percent success. We must win second down.

09

## They throw short to Mozer and deep to Olsen, and Lueth hits the deep ones

Their passing game is ordinary, 6.08 net yards a dropback against a 2026 FCS median of 6.00.

Short middle works for them. Short left doesn't

Throws, success rate, expected points a throw · four D-I games, sacks out · darker pays more

Their best zoneTheir worst zone

Deep20+ air yards10 throws30.0%+0.39 a throw2 throwstoo few to rate11 throws27.3%+0.24 a throwShortunder 2036 throws30.6%+0.10 a throw24 throws58.3%+0.50 a throw39 throws41.0%+0.33 a throwLeftMiddleRightfrom the offense's view 

Deep is 23 throws, seven caught for 245 yards, +0.38 a throw: a good number for a bad completion rate.

Davis gets more of the ball than anyone on either side

PFF through Sept. 26 · Montana five games, the Bears four · dot size is targets

MontanaNorthern Colorado

0%10%20%30%40%46810share of team targetsyards per targetmore of the targets ▶▲ more per throwup and right is the guyDavisRansom-GoelzBridgesBirdnoGillmanPaineAdamsR. BrooksRohrerMozerHarstadMorrisOlsenHerronGuinCampbellBoone 

Davis still gets 9.3 a throw on 35.5 percent of the targets. Olsen is the Bear who gets the most per throw.

They go deep the way a bear fishes, standing in one spot and swatting: 17 of the 35 deep throws went right, three were caught. The deep ball belongs to Lueth. He is 7 of 19 on deep throws for 294 yards and three touchdowns, 36.8 percent. Silbor is 2 of 16 for 52, 12.5 percent, both completions in relief and none in his start, and PFF has Silbor's average depth of target at 13.2 yards to Lueth's 9.7\. The one who can't hit it throws it deeper. #13 Trey Olsen, spelled Olson on the depth chart, is the man they throw it to: 14 deep targets, five caught, 178 yards.

WR #81 Marcus Mozer took 27.9 percent of their targets through four games but did not play last Saturday. #47 Garrett Harstad is 6-5, listed at wide receiver on the roster and tight end at PFF, and ran for 1,845 yards as a [high school quarterback](https://uncbears.com/sports/football/roster/garrett-harstad/12525?ref=bobbyball406.com). On 22 targets this year he is the most productive receiver they have per throw, +0.37 expected points a target to Mozer's +0.25 and Olse(o)n's +0.23.

During competitive minutes opponents have thrown at Montana 183 times, stayed on schedule 38.3 percent of the time, for +0.12 a throw. Short right is where they throw most, 67 times, and it is the leakiest short zone at +0.22\. Deep left has allowed one catch on five throws. And deep middle, seven throws all year, has allowed three catches for 138 yards and +1.33 a throw, the worst cell on our side. The Bears have thrown deep down the middle only four times in five games, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see more on Saturday. By PFF's charting, Chris Johnson II has allowed a 39.6 rating; Sage Salopek has allowed 128.8 on 20 targets, and if the Bears read PFF that is where they throw.

I made Colonel Mustard a Cheat Sheet

| When                     | What they did                                                                                 |
| ------------------------ | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| Quarterback under center | It's a run from #5 Price and it's downhill: only 16 percent of his carries came from the gun. |
| Silbor in the gun        | All 30 tagged runs in his start came from the shotgun; he kept it 5 times for 42\. One game   |
| Deep                     | 35 of 179 throws, only four of them down the middle; they like throwing fades                 |
| The tight end            | Three targets in 167\. Don't spend a body on him                                              |

When The Griz Have The Ball

10

## They like to play man, but the secondary was cobbled together last week

Ed Lamb, last Saturday, on his defense: Utah Tech's quarterback ["beat us in some man-to-man coverage, which is something that we really like to play a lot of."](https://uncbears.com/documents/2026/9/27/Utah%5FTech%5FQuotes.pdf?ref=bobbyball406.com) The same night, to the [Greeley Tribune](https://www.greeleytribune.com/2026/09/26/unc-bears-football-beats-utah-tech-homecoming/?ref=bobbyball406.com): "Incredibly proud of the guys who cobbled together a secondary tonight." We saw Southern Dixie Tech’s pass game against our starters: it wasn’t Keali’i and the fellas.

The front is one man: #53 Dominic Butts, who gets home on 18.0 percent of his rushes, 16 pressures with six tackles for loss. Nobody else on the front reaches 13\. The team sack rate in Division I games is 2.5 percent, 3 on 122 dropbacks, below the 2025 FCS 5th percentile of 3.3\. In the Griz they are facing one of the lowest sack rates allowed in FCS, 4 on 186 dropbacks, Oregon State game included.

Their corners hold up. Their safeties don't

PFF, corners (circles) and safeties (squares) · every point rests on a single-digit tackle or target sample

Northern ColoradoWhere it has leaked

0%5%10%15%20%25%04080120160missed-tackle ratepasser rating allowedmisses more tackles ▶▲ passers get moreup and right is where to throwMoralesTurnerBennerK. QuammieHarrellJamisonKeachJonesthe corner to throw away from 

The damage has come from the three safeties, circled.

Avoid #45 Hudson Voggesser, their best defender by PFF at 75.8\. The corner to throw away from is #30 Cadence Turner, a 21.3 rating allowed on 13 targets with an interception, two breakups and no missed tackles. Behind him the safeties are the problem, #6 Franky Morales with six missed tackles and #20 Carson Keach yielding 158.3 rating on five targets, which is as high as the formula goes.

Their defensive two-deep has moved around quite a bit this season, not from injuries so far as I can tell but rather still trying to cobble it together.

11

## Their d-line stops nobody on third-and-short, and their linebacker can't cover

Montana is crushing it at first down rushing this season, perhaps the biggest improvement over last year in terms of offensive metrics. First down is where this game gets decided, and I expect it to be decided in favor of the Grizzly bear.

Our first-down run is much better this year

Montana on 1st and 10 · 2025 regular season (178 runs, 129 passes) against 2026 through five games (69 and 70)

20262025

Run, 202652.2% · 7.2 a carry · 11.6% went nowhereRun, 202536.0% · 5.4 a carry · 24.2% went nowherePass, 202654.3% · 8.7 net a dropback · 37.1% went nowherePass, 202560.5% · 9.8 net a dropback · 24.8% went nowhere0%20%40%60%success rate better ▶ 

The first-down run went from a 36-percent play to a 52-percent play and gets stuffed half as often.

The line is why. Montana's blockers get 3.59 line yards a carry, the 95th percentile of FCS this year, and the offense has lost a play behind the line on only 5.3 percent of snaps, second-lowest in FCS. Jack D'Ambra has played 309 snaps at center and has not allowed a pressure. Montana's line has allowed four sacks all year. Against every FCS lineman at their position with 150 snaps, Jeske and Drummond sit at the 98th percentile and D'Ambra at the 93rd.

Three of our five linemen grade in the top tenth of FCS

PFF offense grade, five games, the five starters · ticks mark every FCS lineman at the position with 150 snaps

FCS median at the position (T 60.8, G 59.5, C 61.1)75th percentile (T 66.1, G 63.1, C 66.3)

Jeske, LT78.0 4 pressures allowedDrummond, RG73.9 3 pressures allowedD'Ambra, C71.6 0 pressures in 309 snapsFreitas, LG61.5 4 pressures allowedBuehler, RT58.8 4 pressures allowed020406080100PFF offense grade better ▶ 

Four of five sit over their position's median. Buehler is the one two points under it.

Eli Gillman is at 7.39 a carry with 4.42 of it after contact and 20 broken tackles. Dylan Paine makes 5.25 after contact on a quarter of the work. The safety backstopping them, Morales, has missed six. Monitor it.

The down that kills UNC is the short one: opponents have run on third-and-4 or less eleven times and converted ten. Eli Gillman does not need to be told what to do. On third-and-5 or more it flips, and passers have stayed on schedule on 4 of 23.

12

## We throw short right too much, and the Bears' short middle is open

Montana has thrown 181 passes with the sacks out, and seventy-five went short right. Sixteen went short middle. The zone we throw to most is the short zone that pays least, and the one that pays most we visit once every eleven throws.

Put the Bears' defense on the same grid and it flips. Short right is their best zone; short middle is their worst, and deep middle leaks too. Montana's favorite zone is the Bears' best. The Bears' worst zone is the one Montana visits least.

We should still throw to the middle more

Throws, success rate, expected points a throw · five games, sacks out · darker pays more

Our favorite zone

Deep20+ air yards12 throws33.3%+0.26 a throw2 throwstoo few to rate10 throws20.0%\-0.22 a throwShortunder 2061 throws45.9%+0.40 a throw16 throws56.2%+0.40 a throw75 throws45.3%+0.22 a throwLeftMiddleRightfrom the offense's view 

All three short zones stay on schedule at 45 percent or better. What separates them is what a throw is worth.

The Bears get beat up the middle

Throws faced, success rate allowed, expected points allowed · four D-I games, sacks out

Their best zoneTheir worst zones

Deep20+ air yards6 faced33.3%+0.53 a throw6 faced50.0%+0.69 a throw7 faced0.0%\-0.77 a throwShortunder 2036 faced55.6%+0.27 a throw16 faced62.5%+0.65 a throw44 faced27.3%\-0.04 a throwLeftMiddleRightfrom the offense's view 

Both middle cells give up more than 0.6 a throw. No zone Montana throws to pays better than 0.4.

The deep ball is 6 of 24, 25 percent, the same rate as the Bears' 9 of 35; Ah Yat completed 46 percent of his deep throws last season, and thirteen of this year's 24 went to Davis. The short-right problem is not Davis either: he is 23 of 27 there for 205 yards, the best cell on our sheet. Ransom-Goelz is worth 0.00 expected points a target on 27 throws, a starter's share of the ball for nothing, and has been thrown to over the middle once.

Brooks Davis takes 35.5 percent of Montana's targets, the most concentrated role on either team, and the Bears play man. Keali'i Ah Yat has thrown one turnover-worthy ball in 173 attempts and PFF grades him 84.5\. Third-and-long is the one down Montana loses, 23.8 percent on 42 throws, so the assignment is to stay off it.

A cheat sheet where to attack for Coach Pease

| What we should do            | Why                                                                                               |
| ---------------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| Run on first down            | Our first-down run is a 52-percent play at 7.2 a carry; they allow 5.7 a carry on first down      |
| Run again on third-and-short | They have allowed 10 of 11 third-and-short runs; Montana converts 83.3 percent of its own         |
| Throw over the middle        | They allow 62.5 percent short middle and 3 of 6 deep middle; we have thrown there 18 times in 181 |
| Throw at #8 KJ Smedley       | 11 of 15 for 125 yards, a 120.1 rating                                                            |

Special teams

13

## Their kicker is perfect from 40 and out, but their extra points get blocked

#26 Landon Richardson is 7 of 10: perfect from 40 and out, 3 of 6 in the thirties, all three misses from 34 to 39 yards. He has a range, and it is the wrong one. Jo Silver is 4 of 7, and 3 of 4 since Sept. 12\. His two misses came on his longest kicks, like you’d expect. The third was blocked and we won’t blame that on Jo.

The kickers, by distance

Every 2026 attempt, numbered in season order · filled is good, open is a miss, square is blocked

Northern ColoradoMontana

40 yardsRichardson, UNC7 of 1012345678910Silver, Montana4 of 71234567202530354045505560distance, yards 

All three of Richardson's misses sit between 34 and 39 yards. Silver's two came from 54 and 55.

The Bears have had two extra points blocked, both in the 30-29 loss to Weber State, the second with three seconds left. A punt was blocked against South Dakota. They have tried three onside kicks in five games. Head Coach Ed Lamb spent seven seasons as BYU's special-teams coordinator, and before that he was the head man of the Southern Utah team that beat the Griz at home 30-20 in 2012, in a game that included two blocked field goals and a fake punt. Thankfully we have Tanner Huff-and-Puff ready to blow the house down.

14

## Their net punting is sixteen yards worse than their opponents'

Net punting is the only punting number worth printing, and the Bears' is 32.7 yards a punt. Their opponents' is 48.8. That is a sixteen-yard gap every time, and it is habitat loss at a rate the Park Service would call concerning. Montana nets 39.7 to its opponents' 38.7.

Kickoffs are a wash. Their #17 Benson Ashley has put 16 of 22 in the end zone and two out of bounds; our Ryder Barinowski has put 23 of 32 in the end zone and no flags. And again on the onside kicks: they have tried three in five games and recovered one.

15

## The Brother Index

Northern Colorado has a set of twins: #77 Zion Sauvao starts at left tackle, and #59 Zimeon Sauvao plays defensive line, confirmed from [their bios](https://uncbears.com/sports/football/roster/zimeon-sauvao/12360?ref=bobbyball406.com). The twin telepathy normally counts double, per my own rules, but not so fast my friend. It counts for nothing on Saturday, because UNC went and put them on opposite sides of the ball. For shame.

#44 Kruse Redding is their backup tight end and Wyatt Redding is our backup punter, different towns, unrelated, and neither is expected to touch the ball Saturday, which is how you keep a cross-team Redding off the Brother Index.

#14 Kaleb Quammie and #16 Jackson Quammie are both corners from Brighton, and [Jackson's bio](https://uncbears.com/sports/football/roster/jackson-quammie/12348?ref=bobbyball406.com) settles it: "He has two siblings, Kaleb and Alanna." Alanna is not on the roster, and the bylaws did not anticipate a sister and would not be amended anyway. #41 and #44 Carson and Lincoln Hageman, freshman linebackers from Erie who won a state title together, are suspected, but neither bio mentions the other. #5 and #83 Makur and Marwell Abram share a last name and a high school, but are only suspected as the bios are silent. The Bears also carry three Pattersons on the roster, from three different towns, and another on the staff, none related to the others, which is either a large coincidence or a very quiet family.

Week 5 Brother Index: Northern Colorado 2 confirmed, 2 suspected, with a wasted twin factor kicker. Griz 4 confirmed and 3 suspected, get better soon Brock Beaner.

16

## Portal target of the week

The best Bear we should try to steal is the one I’ve told you all column to leave alone. #30 Cadence Turner, a sophomore corner from Torrance, Calif., by way of El Camino College, where [his bio](https://uncbears.com/sports/football/roster/cadence-turner/12528?ref=bobbyball406.com) says he had three interceptions and eight breakups last fall. This fall: 13 targets, six catches, 40 yards, an interception, two breakups, no missed tackles, a 21.3 rating allowed, the best coverage grade on his defense. Here's the deal, Cadence: Chris Johnson II is at 39.6 on our side. Come play across from him, and the two of you can argue over who gets thrown at less, but on a team that plays in December.

17

## The case for Bear Country

They outgained Weber State 485 to 370 and lost by one on two blocked kicks. They outgained Wyoming 345 to 304, led 13-7 in the third quarter in Laramie, and lost 21-13\. They are 3-1 against the spread with an average cover of 8.4 points, and Montana is 1-4\. They have not fumbled in five games, are plus-three in turnovers, and have held the ball 30 minutes or more in four of five. While their games were live their offense has been worth +0.242 expected points a snap, double the FCS median. When they get behind the sticks they run and get out, at the 85th percentile of FCS. They throw short and live on third-and-manageable. Their coach has won in this building before. Lamb, Saturday night: ["I think we have a team on the cusp, and I know we have a team that's ready to turn the corner."](https://uncbears.com/documents/2026/9/27/Utah%5FTech%5FQuotes.pdf?ref=bobbyball406.com)

18

## Last Call

I think we handle these guys pretty well, maybe not another shutout, but pretty well. Their ball control offense will limit the scoring, but we all should be celebrating homecoming by the early 4th quarter.

My prediction: they huddle, they run the quarterback on second-and-long, and they get one drive in the first half that lasts six minutes and ends in a Richardson field goal from 41, because he can’t make it inside 40\. Eli gets his on first down against a front that allows 5.7 a carry, and the rest on third-and-2 against a front that has stopped one of eleven. Ah Yat throws at the linebacker until the linebacker is moved, then throws at the safety, then throws over the middle because somebody on the headset read the zone table. Davis spends the afternoon in man against a group that was cobbled together a week ago. Silver kicks extra points until he is sick of them and makes one field goal from 47 yards out.

#BearCountry is a hashtag. Soon to be our hashtag.

Good Guys 45, Northern Colorado 16.

Go Griz.

Bobby Ball · Griz football by Schuyler Watt · Numbers from both schools' official stat files and game notes, CFBD play-by-play cleaned through the house rules, PFF grades, Massey, Sagarin, and the 2025 and 2026 FCS baselines built for this column. Montana's defensive figures cut the backups' snaps; the UC Davis cut is provisional. Coverage numbers rest on small samples.